UMass Amherst
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
505  Heather MacLean JR 20:55
911  Carly Zinner SR 21:28
1,099  Colleen Sands SO 21:42
1,338  Natalie Mako JR 21:58
1,461  Alexa Livingstone FR 22:06
1,711  Brook Hansel FR 22:23
1,746  Deirdre Martyn SO 22:25
2,027  Molly McMahon SR 22:44
2,100  Gracie Bailly SO 22:51
2,164  Renee Capps SO 22:55
National Rank #165 of 339
Northeast Region Rank #18 of 43
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 17th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 80.5%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Heather MacLean Carly Zinner Colleen Sands Natalie Mako Alexa Livingstone Brook Hansel Deirdre Martyn Molly McMahon Gracie Bailly Renee Capps
Coast to Coast Battle in Beantown 09/25 1224 21:12 21:49 21:56 22:12 21:48 22:02 22:41 23:09 22:48
Paul Short Invitational (Gold) 10/02
NEICAAA Championship 10/10 1214 21:05 21:33 21:40 22:17 22:22 22:40 22:46
Atlantic 10 Championships 10/31 1123 20:36 21:05 21:30 21:52 22:10 23:24 21:36 22:29 23:08 22:56
Northeast Region Championships 11/13 1183 20:49 21:26 21:49 21:56 22:22 22:58 22:52





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 18.7 594 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.9 6.3 29.8 19.0 13.1 9.5 6.8 5.0 3.3 1.8 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Heather MacLean 57.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4
Carly Zinner 105.6
Colleen Sands 127.0
Natalie Mako 147.6
Alexa Livingstone 158.1
Brook Hansel 180.3
Deirdre Martyn 183.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 0.0% 0.0 11
12 0.1% 0.1 12
13 0.2% 0.2 13
14 0.6% 0.6 14
15 1.9% 1.9 15
16 6.3% 6.3 16
17 29.8% 29.8 17
18 19.0% 19.0 18
19 13.1% 13.1 19
20 9.5% 9.5 20
21 6.8% 6.8 21
22 5.0% 5.0 22
23 3.3% 3.3 23
24 1.8% 1.8 24
25 1.4% 1.4 25
26 0.7% 0.7 26
27 0.3% 0.3 27
28 0.2% 0.2 28
29 0.0% 0.0 29
30 0.0% 0.0 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0